We have seen a sample over the primary three years of NASCAR’s annual preseason query contest.
Every season to this point has turn out to be progressively extra unpredictable. in 2022for instance, virtually 1 / 4 of respondents didn’t obtain Not linked Right reply out of 5 questions. Greater than two-thirds of the members didn’t get two right solutions. Solely a few gamers (out of 272) have had at the very least three, together with winner Craig Swicki (who was declared champion with a rating of three.5).
How will we work collectively this 12 months? Do you assume you will have what it takes to affix our record of winners? Learn the questions under, then click on the hyperlink to fill out the shape or go away your solutions within the feedback part.
1. Who has a greater season: Kyle Bosh or Tyler Reddick?
The most important driver strikes in 2022 noticed Kyle Busch go away Joe Gibbs Racing to affix Richard Childress Racing and Tyler Reddick go away RCR a 12 months early for 23XI Racing.
First, let us take a look at their stats from final 12 months – the season the drivers completed subsequent to one another within the standings (Bosch thirteenth, Riddick 14th):
- Wins: Riddick 3, Bosch 1
- prime 5: Riddick 10, Bosch 8
- prime ten: Bosch 17, Riddick 15
- led windings: Bosch 627, Riddick 503
- common end: Bosch 16.7, Riddick 17.6
Busch is transferring to Reddick’s previous automobile (along with his previous crew), which was clearly able to profitable races in 2022. Reddick acquired the No. 45 automobile, which was credited with two wins (a sweep of Kansas between Kurt Busch and Bubba Wallace) – however He truly has one victory with the precise crew (since Wallace’s #23 moved him to 45 within the playoffs).
So this is your problem: as a substitute of merely answering who will win extra races or who may have a greater common rating, the query is Which driver may have the aggressive benefit within the above 5 classes?
To recap, that is it: wins, prime 5, prime 10, laps led and a mediocre end. Since it’s doable for them to have the identical quantity in a single class and divide the opposite 4, we’ll want a tie breaker. On this case, will probably be whoever ranks larger within the final season’s standings.
Right reply provides you with 1 level.
2. How did Kevin Harvick fare in his senior 12 months?
We’ll say Completely satisfied Trails to Completely satisfied Harvick on the conclusion of the 2023 Cup Collection season, however we’re getting one other probability to see how this future Corridor-of-Famer can carry out throughout a full-time marketing campaign in a superb automobile.
Whereas it is tempting to assume Harvick will appear like his traditional self – he did get previous a winless 2021 by profitable two races final summer season, in any case – there are a number of different components to think about.
Apart from the 2 victories, Harvick had his worst season statistically since becoming a member of Stewart-Haas Racing in 2014. This contains fewest prime fives, most 10 laps, lead (solely 119, the worst of his profession) and common end ( worst since 2009).
Maybe a part of that may be attributed to the overall lack of success of SHR. However Harvick turned 47 final month, and nobody can outrun time perpetually.
So how will Harvick fare in his twenty third season of the Cup Collection? You get 1 level in case you appropriately predict how far he’ll go within the playoffs: Spherical of 16, Spherical of 12, Spherical of 8, Match 4 or miss the playoffs altogether.
3. Who will drive the No. 4 automobile in 2024?
Harvick, Rodney Childers and their crew have made the No. 4 automobile the best incomes automobile since becoming a member of SHR in 2014. As of 2023, Harvick has scored 37 victories over that point – 5 greater than the closest driver/automobile combo (Kyle Busch has 32 victories within the No. 18) .
As of this writing, we do not know for positive if Childers, the crew or current sponsors will go on to interchange Harvick. In the event that they did, it will be fairly a beautiful seat. And Harvick made the 4 a fascinating touchdown spot both manner.
One drawback is that a whole lot of marquee free brokers from current years are already off the desk. Kyle Larson, Kyle Busch and Reddick signed elsewhere whereas the SHR crew was absent. This 12 months’s free agent crop might embody Ross Chastain, Eric Jones and Alex Bowman.
If these drivers keep the place they’re, who stays? Will Ryan Preece do effectively sufficient within the No. 41 SHR this 12 months for the crew to push him into the fourth automobile? Will Cole Custer have an enormous Xfinity Collection season and present he deserves one other shot on the Cup?
It is onerous to take a seat right here and predict what is going on to occur, however that is why this query is on the record: For one level, Who will change Harvick for the 2024 season?
4. Will parity proceed?
The Subsequent Era automobile’s first season produced 19 completely different winners in a single season. How uncommon was it? A complete of 19 completely different drivers going to victory lane in the identical 12 months has solely occurred once more previously 60 years (in 2001).
And that does not even embody Ryan Blaney profitable the Texas All-Star Race.
So what about 2023? The following era automobile can proceed on the identical observe, with a wide range of drivers profitable races and solely requiring a win to make the playoffs. Or perhaps the standard powerhouse groups will discover some areas to realize benefits and thus seize a superb portion of the winnings once more.
the query: What number of completely different race winners will there be in 2023? Nailing the precise quantity is hard, so that you get 1 level for predicting it on the nostril and 1/2 level for only one quantity.
5. Who’s the lock for Match 4?
It is a ceaselessly requested query from final 12 months’s record, however I actually favored it after seeing the outcomes. Solely 18 % of gamers get the precise lock, which is sensible when you think about that Ross Chastain and Christopher Bell made it to the Closing 4. Final champion Joey Logano was solely the eighth driver chosen as a ‘lock’, which as soon as once more speaks to the unpredictable nature of the season.
Maybe it will be simpler this time round if drivers like Kyle Larson, Chase Elliott or Denny Hamlin made the championship spherical. However… most likely not! who are you aware
for one level, Identify one driver who you assume will win the championship 4.
essential observe: There are two methods to submit your vote this 12 months. You may both Click on right here to seek out a simple type to fill out (Which is my favourite, because it’s a lot simpler than sorting 300ish entries manually) Or just write your solutions within the feedback part under (however please do not do each!).
In case you select to write down your solutions within the feedback part, please copy and paste this format:
1. Bosch or Riddick:
2. How far does Harvick go?
3. Who replaces Harvick:
4. Variety of completely different winners:
5. Lockdown Match 4:
(Photograph: Meg Oliphant/Getty Pictures)